Friday, February 21, 2014

The Myth of ‘Settled Science’

I repeat: I’m not a global-warming believer. I’m not a global-warming denier. I’ve long believed that it cannot be good for humanity to be spewing tons of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. I also believe that those scientists who pretend to know exactly what this will cause in 20, 30, or 50 years are white-coated propagandists.

“The debate is settled,” asserted propagandist-in-chief Barack Obama in his latest State of the Union address. “Climate change is a fact.” Really? There is nothing more anti-scientific than the very idea that science is settled, static, impervious to challenge. Take a non-climate example. It was long assumed that mammograms help reduce breast cancer deaths. This fact was so settled that Obamacare requires every insurance plan to offer mammograms (for free, no less).

Now we learn from a massive randomized study — 90,000 women followed for 25 years — that mammograms may have no effect on breast-cancer deaths. Indeed, one out of five of those diagnosed by mammogram receives unnecessary radiation, chemo, or surgery.

So much for settledness.
Read the rest here.

3 comments:

  1. Brilliant analysis. The same -- yes, the same -- white-coated propagandists convinced everybody
    that even a whiff of second-hand smoke would surely kill you. Only the data they used to support their war on smokers was specious, almost entirely derived from questionnaires.

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  2. No true scientist "settles" things. That's what lawyers do.

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  3. It seems that science in all disciplines has become more about generating computer models than about actually seeing what is going on.

    The whole climate change business is weird. Cities are hotter than farmland, farmland is hotter than forest. There are more people in cities being fed by farmland now.

    Like Dr. K says, there is no question that it is a travesty we generate so much combustion which can't be good for us or the environment. But since the conclusions are pre-determined, nobody even knows how to ask the right questions any more. AIDS is said to be caused solely by a killer freight-train of a virus that puts us all at risk. A few people ask if having sex with 100-200 people a year and amyl nitrate ingestion might damage the immune system and the debate swiftly shuts down. It's settled science! Only kooks would question settled science!

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