Tuesday, October 08, 2019

Trump is in trouble

I noted in an earlier post regarding the rising level of support for impeachment that the president would be in trouble if his support from within the GOP began to erode. That now appears to be happening.

According to a new poll, support for the impeachment inquiry has jumped to 58% with 49% supporting his removal from office. Translated into plain English; a solid majority of Americans believe there is legitimate reason to at least discuss removing the President of the United States from office on the basis of corruption and abuse of power. Near half believe he should in fact be removed.

But the bombshell in these numbers is that a statistically significant number within his own party appear to have finally had enough. A quarter or more of Republicans support the inquiry and almost one in five want him removed. Let's set aside for now the actual prospects of his removal from office, which I continue to think are very low. Unless these numbers change, drastically, Trump's chances of re-election now appear to be going from poor to somewhere near 'I'm not seeing how he can pull it off.'

The bottom line is that Trump's can't win reelection with these numbers. He has to claw back support from within his own party or he will get buried in the general election. I won't say it's impossible. He's pulled off some crazy political upsets before. But when you have a large chunk of your own party supporting your impeachment...

Source

8 comments:

The Anti-Gnostic said...

The Washington Post.

BorisJojicj said...

Isn't that the paper Mark Levin(or is it Limbaugh) calls the Washington Compost?

Stephen said...

I predict it impeachment ain't gonna happen. As people find out that the whole whistleblower thing is a "feedback loop" - an old spy trick - they will see it's more made up stuff to take Trump out.

John (Ad Orientem) said...

Conceding that the Post is editorially hostile to Trump, I doubt they would be making up polls. There are certainly other polls being conducted and if they don't confirm this trend it would damage the Post's credibility. That said, I look forward to seeing what other news sources have to say on this topic in the coming days.

thepilgrim said...

Oh they're not making up polls John ... They're just conducting them in such a haphazard manner that the poll is so disconnected from reality that it is laughable. The polls putting Hillary way above Trump to win in 2016 are case in point.

Stephen said...

John, what the Post and others miss is summed up by Dennis Miller. "If Trump were remotely presidential, he wouldn't be President." If you don't get that, you would never have guessed that Trump would win, that he would survive, maybe even succeed and thrive as President, and get re-elected.

August said...

Impeachment won't happen because it is an actual trial held before the Senate, not the grandstanding being done on the nightly news.

The Anti-Gnostic said...

Trump simply will not go to war, and since Presidents no longer ride around in convertibles, they have to go for impeachment.