The 4th Century Science of St Macrina (I)
10 hours ago
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3 comments:
"anti-incumbent", eh? i think your political radar is missing the mark here. it's not a nationwide anti-incubent sentiment, but an anti-liberal/progressive/statist one, regardless of incumbency.
my political tea leaves tell me that conservative-leaning incumbents perform markedly better than incumbents who are known progressives and face conservative challengers. it seems you believe that all incumbents regardless of ideological stripe will get shellacked (i.e., the michelle bachman's of the world will perform equally as poorly as the nancy pelosi's and barney frank's).
is my assumption of your view correct?
How do you figure that this outcome improves the chances for a GOP pickup? The polls on a Specter-Toomey match-up have been showing a 6.8 point lead for Toomey, with the trend line for Toomey's lead pointing up. The polls for a Sestak-Toomey matchup show Toomey with only a 3.6 point lead and the trendline for Toomey's lead shrinking.
I would be loathe to make an actual prediction about the eventual winner of this race, but if last night's result made a difference, it actually made it harder, not easier, for the GOP to pick up this seat.
agree with gdelassu. this will make it more difficult for Toomey, in a state that is more blue than red.
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