Russia sabotages weapons factories across Europe

Russia has launched a fresh wave of attacks on European armaments factories under the guise of plausible deniability, according to Western intelligence sources.

The Kremlin is recruiting local gang members to sabotage defence manufacturers to test Nato’s resolve.

The attacks appear carefully calculated to fall just short of triggering Article 5, Nato’s mutual defence clause, intelligence officials believe.

Read the rest here.

Hegseth Attacks NATO Allies, Announces Review of US and European Military Commitments

BRUSSELS (AP) — U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth lashed out at NATO allies on Thursday, announcing a six-month Pentagon review of American forces in Europe whose outcome will depend on how fast the Europeans take responsibility for their own security.

The threat of a review was yet another surprise for European allies and Canada as they learn to deal with an increasingly unpredictable ally. U.S. officials and senior military officers had promised to coordinate closely with the Europeans as America draws down.

Read the rest here.

Defense decoupling is no longer just a European fear — it’s Trump’s policy

When news broke that the Pentagon wouldn’t sell long-range Tomahawk missiles to Germany, it suggested Washington might fear Moscow would view such a capability in Europe’s hands as dangerous escalation.

The move came on the heels of similar signs of U.S. disengagement that had been going on for weeks, including the decision to withdraw 5,000 troops from Germany, halt the planned deployment of a U.S. battalion equipped with Tomahawk missiles, and make severe reductions in planned U.S. contributions of bombers, fighters, destroyers, submarines and other forces needed to bolster NATO defenses in a crisis or attack.

The Pentagon claims these steps are necessary to rebalance European and U.S. contributions to the continent’s defense, but the decision to halt the Tomahawk sale points to a far more disquieting reality: Not only is Washington no longer deploying deep precision strike systems to Europe, it’s also denying its European allies the capacity to arm themselves with these systems out of fear of Russia’s reaction.

In other words, the U.S. is now actively looking to decouple its security from Europe’s.

Read the rest here.

Pentagon officials stunned by Hegseth decision on troops in Poland

Pete Hegseth’s last-minute decision to cancel the deployment of 4,000 troops to Poland caught Pentagon staff and European allies by surprise — the latest example of an abrupt personnel move from the Defense secretary that blindsided both sides of the Atlantic.

It wasn’t clear exactly why Hegseth issued the order, according to three defense officials familiar with the matter. President Donald Trump has repeatedly expressed anger and frustration with European allies for their failure to help with the Iran war, although Trump has labeled Poland a “model ally” for its high defense spending.

The decision was even more surprising because troops and equipment had already started to arrive in the country. It sent fresh waves of anxiety through European capitals and inside the Pentagon on Thursday about whether such moves could embolden Russia — and which ally might turn into the next target.

“We had no idea this was coming,” said one of the U.S. officials, adding that European and American officials have spent the last 24 hours on the phone trying to understand the decision and figure out if more surprises are coming.

The move follows Hegseth’s announcement this month that the Pentagon would withdraw 5,000 troops from bases in Germany. But that decision followed through on a threat Trump made after German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said the U.S. was “humiliating” itself with the conflict in Iran.

The 4,000 Texas-based troops were preparing to leave on a long-planned nine month rotation to Poland that includes training with NATO allies when the order to halt came through. The cancellation of this routine mission is especially unusual given that American troops stationed on the continent are a key deterrent to Russia. Trump has insisted that Europe will have to fend for itself — even as he’s railed against allies’ opposition to the Iran conflict — and this latest order suggests the president is serious about reducing the American footprint on the continent.

The Army’s role in Europe “is all about deterring the Russians, protecting America’s strategic interests and assuring allies,” said the Lt. Gen. Ben Hodges, the former commander of the U.S. Army in Europe. “And now a very important asset that was coming to be part of that deterrence is gone.”

Read the rest here.

The Shocking State of Britain's Navy 2026

Sky News Report on Trump's Letter to Norway

Trump launches tariff attack over Greenland

Trump says he will hit Denmark and 7 other countries with new tariffs until there is a deal to purchase Greenland

Meanwhile: 

"The Congress shall have Power To lay and collect Taxes, Duties, Imposts and Excises, to pay the Debts and provide for the common Defence and general Welfare of the United States...

...To regulate Commerce with foreign Nations, and among the several States, and with the Indian Tribes...

...To declare War, grant Letters of Marque and Reprisal, and make Rules concerning Captures on Land and Water..."

-US Constitution Article I sec. 8

Some Thoughts on Greenland, Don-Roe and Trump's New Imperium

Today, Vice-President Vance is meeting with representatives of Denmark about Greenland. That's not encouraging as Vance has gone out of his way to assume to role of Donald Trump's attack dog. Some thoughts on where we are and the implications of Trump's revival of great power imperialism...

An armed attack by the United States on Denmark (which Greenland is a part of) would have earthquake level ramifications. It would instantly turn the United States into an international pariah, on the same level as Russia. It would effect not just trade and commerce, but also security. Europe would be forced to treat the US as an unfriendly, or even hostile foreign power. It would shatter the transatlantic relationship that has existed since World War II. NATO in its current form would effectively be dead. Most likely the Europeans would cease sharing intelligence with us. It is entirely possible that they would politely tell us to remove our troops from their soil. Beyond Europe, it is likely that pretty much the entire democratic world would look at America as just another predatory great power, not to be trusted, and against which  they need to guard themselves. 

For the moment, we are still living in a one superpower world. This is in large part because, unlike Russia and China, the US has a global military presence. We have bases all over the world that allow us to project power where and when we need to. This is almost entirely because the countries that are hosting our bases like and trust us. This is something unique in history. In the past, great powers with overseas bases almost always were colonial empires. The locals had no real choice about hosting their overlords' troops or ships. As far as I am aware, America is the first global superpower whose power is based on goodwill and a deep trust in our honor and benevolent intentions. The loss of that trust and good will would be catastrophic for global peace and security. But it would also have a devastating effect on our own ability to project military power. Imagine what would happen if the Europeans decide to evict us from the massive bases we operate there. That's the logistical nexus for our capabilities to operate in the Middle East, Africa and of course Europe. The Sixth Fleet is able to dominate the Mediterranean because of the bases we have in Italy and Spain and friendly port facilities in France, Greece and Turkey.  What if Japan, S. Korea and Australia suddenly started rethinking their relationship with us? Yes, we have Hawaii and Guam, but they can't replace the loss of of forward deployed troops and ships near potential hot spots. Guam can't absorb even a fraction of what we have in Japan and S. Korea. China would be able to swallow Taiwan at its leisure. The strategically vital base on Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean could also be lost. 

In the course of a single year, Donald Trump has taken 80 years worth of good will that this country has accumulated, put it all in a big pile, pored gasoline on it and struck a match. It now remains to be seen if he is actually going to throw the match. All in the name of his ego and desire to put his name on a new American Empire. 

Trump Threatens to Take Greenland ‘the Hard Way’

President Trump again threatened on Friday to forcibly annex Greenland, saying that he was “going to do something on Greenland, whether they like it or not.”

In a White House event discussing his plans to have American companies exploit Venezuela’s vast oil reserves under the threat of a military blockade, Mr. Trump advanced an imperialist vision of American foreign policy, where the U.S. must dominate strategically important neighboring countries because of the perceived possibility that rival powers might do so first.

“If we don’t do it, Russia or China will take over Greenland,” Mr. Trump said, falsely suggesting that Greenland, a semiautonomous territory of Denmark, was surrounded by Chinese and Russian warships. Russia and China are active in the Arctic Circle, but Greenland is not ringed by their ships, and the United States has a military base on Greenland.

Mr. Trump delivered an ominous warning to Danish and Greenlandic officials, who have consistently opposed the president’s plans to take the island: “I would like to make a deal the easy way, but if we don’t do it the easy way we’re going to do it the hard way.”

The United States’ taking Greenland by force would rip apart the central agreement that underpins the NATO military alliance, of which Denmark and the United States are both founding members.  Under that treaty, an attack on any member is treated as an attack on all members.

But Mr. Trump dismissed that central principle of the alliance as he explained why he wanted to annex Greenland, suggesting that he would defend the island only if the United States were to govern the territory directly.

“When we own it, we defend it,” Mr. Trump said. “You don’t defend leases the same way. You have to own it.”

Read the rest here.

France Prepares for Russia as US Withdraws

Paris has long worried the United States was an unreliable partner. Donald Trump is proving them right...

...Trump continues to antagonize the United States’ traditional European allies, deriding them as he did in an interview with POLITICO earlier this month as “weak” and a “decaying group of nations.” And for its part, France wants to prove him wrong.

Like many other European nations, France sees Russia has a growing threat to the continent. So it is preparing to defend itself against what the country’s chief of defense staff, Gen. Fabien Mandon, called a “violent test” from Russia in the next three to four years that it would need to counter without much, if any, help from Washington. To do that, France is boosting military spending, increasing weapons production and doubling the reserve forces.

Read the rest here.

Britain's Defense Buildup: Lots of talk but not so much money

LONDON — Keir Starmer tore up the script this year to pledge a massive British defense spending hike. So why is the country's military still preparing to make cuts?

Just ahead of his crucial first meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump in February, the U.K. prime minister announced his government would spend 2.5 percent of GDP on defense by 2027 — and hit 3 percent in the next parliament.

In June he went further — joining NATO allies in promising a move to 3.5 percent by 2035. Britain’s bold direction of travel was warmly welcomed by NATO members, including the U.S., which has sent a clear message under Trump that Europe must become more self-sufficient on security.

Yet inside Whitehall, anxiety is rising about how the U.K. will match lofty rhetoric with reality — and military chiefs are already locked in a fight with the all-powerful Treasury to get cash in the here and now.

The recent government-wide budget delivered by Chancellor Rachel Reeves contained nothing new for national security, while the Ministry of Defence is currently locked in a fraught battle with the Treasury over a landmark investment plan.

One U.K. defense official, not authorized to speak publicly, said: “Our position is becoming untenable. You can’t talk about leadership in Europe when we haven’t put our budget up at all.”

Read the res here.

In the News

White House downplays new Epstein emails that mention Trump

MAGA World's Evolving Views on L'Affaire Epstein

Reagan-appointed judge resigns, warns of Trump's 'assault on the rule of law'

October jobs data may never be released, White House says

Ex Top Aid to Gavin Newsom Indicted for Corruption

Trump Receives Military Options for Attack on Venezuela 

Germany decides against conscription (for now)

Masked Israeli settlers attack Palestinian villages and IDF soldiers in the West Bank

Ukraine’s Dilemma as a City Teeters: Save Lives or Keep Holding On

Rubio dismisses criticism of U.S. Caribbean strikes at G7 meeting

Germany is rearming, with potentially huge implications

...Across Germany, both politicians and members of the public have been going through a similar transformation. The country’s army, officially named the Bundeswehr — which translates as “federal defense” — was established by the United States during the Cold War. It was designed to support NATO rather than ever lead a conflict, for fear that a German military could be misused as it was during World War II. This supporting role suited Germany’s leaders: Throughout the latter half of the 20th century, the country’s politicians carefully shaped an image of a peaceful nation that prefers influencing global politics through trade and diplomacy. After the end of the Cold War the Bundeswehr began scaling down, with military spending falling from a high of 4.9 percent of GDP in 1963 to just 1.1 percent in 2005.

But in the months following the Russian invasion, then-chancellor Olaf Scholz surprised the world by announcing a radical change in German foreign policy, including a €100 billion ($116 billion) plan to beef up its army. Then in early 2025, five days after the February election of new chancellor Friedrich Merz of the conservative Christian Democrats (CDU), Donald Trump invited Ukrainian President Volodymir Zelensky into the Oval Office for a browbeating broadcast around the world that signaled his lack of interest in standing up to Russia. A shocked Merz, who had campaigned on a platform of low taxes and low spending, immediately agreed with Scholz to work together to reform the country’s strict borrowing laws — which were embedded in the constitution — and build up its defense capabilities as quickly as possible with a €1 trillion loan, which amounts to about 25 percent of the country’s GDP. According to Lorenzo Scarazzato, a researcher at the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), this type of defense spending was previously unheard of during peacetime. “Countries that spend this much are usually those at war, or autocratic states that don’t have democratic oversight,” he said.

The following month, Germany’s lawmakers voted to back the plan, setting the country’s military on track to be the best-funded in Europe and the fourth-biggest in the world. In Merz’s view, Europe didn’t just need to arm itself against Russian aggression, but also “achieve independence from the USA.” Later in the year, NATO members would agree to raise their defense spending to 5 percent of GDP, at Trump’s behest.

Read the rest here.

This is a longish read, but very good.

Germany May Revive the Draft

BERLIN — Germany may need to turn to compulsory measures to get more soldiers into the ranks of its depleted military, say senior lawmakers from Chancellor Friedrich Merz's conservatives.

The government is drafting legislation to revitalize a shrinking Bundeswehr, but so far efforts to recruit more troops have relied on voluntary measures. Now, senior conservative lawmakers are warning that may have to be backed up by a return to the draft.

“If it turns out that the significant personnel needs for a Bundeswehr capable of defense and deterrence, especially in light of the new NATO plans, cannot be met through a purely voluntary model, compulsory elements will have to be introduced,” said Thomas Erndl, who represents the Christian Democrats on the parliamentary defense committee. 

Read the rest here.

On Foreign Affairs

The ‘Free World’ Is Gone and There’s No Turning Back

Canada, May I Introduce You to Ukraine?

Trump’s Lust for Canada Echoes Putin’s Lust for Ukraine

Trump’s expansionism threatens the rules-based order in place since second world war

The strong will do what they will, and the weak will suffer what they must (reposted)

Worth a read...

Facing a suddenly hostile US; Europe turns to Germany and Berlin steps up...

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/mar/21/europe-germany-leadership-vote-spending-defence   

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/21/world/europe/germany-us-ally-relationship-military.html?unlocked_article_code=1.5k4.xjNZ.QvZ7je-pFlJW&smid=url-share

https://www.politico.eu/article/germanys-friedrich-merz-radical-spending-election-berlin-green-energy-fund/

Meanwhile Russia continues its campaign of disruption...

https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-europe-hybrid-campaign-d61887dd3ec6151adf354c5bd3e6273e

Moscow and Beijing rejoice at the imminent demise of Radio Free Europe and VOA...

https://www.politico.eu/article/moscow-beijing-rejoice-europe-voa-radio-free-china-disinformation/

Four conservative columnists discuss Trump's enduring popularity on the right...

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/21/opinion/trump-administration-polling.html?unlocked_article_code=1.5k4.fw_S._UmbInlTdDWd&smid=url-share

On the huge run-up in gold...

https://www.forbes.com/sites/steveforbes/2025/03/20/golds-3000-surge-why-the-fed-faces-an-existential-crisis/

https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2025-03-20/gold-rally-should-be-flashing-yellow-washington-international-investors

(I agree in part, but also think there is more to the story. Gold has always marched to the beat of its own drum. Geopolitical and US specific political tensions, and the out of control US debt are all contributing. Also there has been a voracious demand for gold coming from other parts of the world, notably China.)

Europe sees opportunity in Trump’s economic chaos...

https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-can-attract-those-who-seek-alternatives-to-the-u-s-dollar-lagarde-says/

The weird world of anti-vaxxers...

https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/anti-vaccine-influencers-weaponized-measles-death-texas-rcna196900

Tesla owners are trading in their EVs at record levels...

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/03/20/tesla-owners-are-trading-in-their-evs-at-record-levels-edmunds-says.html

How Republicans Learned to Love High Prices...

https://www.cato.org/commentary/how-republicans-learned-love-high-prices

More Admirals than Ships?

Russia and China Are Sabotaging Undersea Power and Communication Cables

Russia’s connection to the rupture of an undersea cable between Finland and Estonia is raising a new bevy of fears over the sabotage of critical power lines.

The new incidents come as tensions between the West and Russia and China have risen over the war in Ukraine, and as the world braces for a shift in U.S. leadership as President-elect Trump prepares to take office. 

The Estlink-2 power cable between Finland and Estonia was allegedly cut on Christmas by a Cook Island-flagged ship called Eagle S. Western officials claim the ship is part of a vast Russian shadow fleet working to circumvent western sanctions. 

The incident adds to a larger problem related to the security of undersea infrastructure, as China has also been accused of three incidents since 2023 that have disrupted power lines in European waters.

Dozens of cables are ruptured each year, usually accidentally, and it’s unclear if the latest events were intentional. Still, European leaders are sounding the alarm. 

“Recent Baltic Sea sabotage attempts are not isolated incidents; they form a deliberate pattern aimed at damaging our digital and energy infrastructure,” said European Union foreign policy head Kaja Kallas in an interview with German newspaper Welt.

Read the rest here.

Russia is signaling it could take out the West's internet and GPS.

Dmitry Medvedev, the deputy chairman of Russia's Security Council, issued a stark warning in June.

The undersea cables that enable global communications had become a legitimate target for Russia, he said.

Medvedev's warning came after Nord Stream 2, a pipeline that transfers gas from Russia to Germany, was blown up. Russian officials believed the West had been involved in the attack. (Recent reports suggest Ukraine was actually behind the attack.)

"If we proceed from the proven complicity of Western countries in blowing up the Nord Streams, then we have no constraints - even moral - left to prevent us from destroying the ocean floor cable communications of our enemies," Medvedev posted on Telegram.

Medvedev, a close ally of Russian President Vladimir Putin, has a long history of making incendiary claims.

But some analysts say this wasn't just another idle threat.

The vast network of undersea fiber-optic cables that transfer data between continents is indeed vulnerable to hostile powers, including Russia, the Center for Strategic and International Studies warned in a report this month.

In May, NATO's intelligence chief David Cattler warned that Russia may be planning to target the cables in retribution for the West's support for Ukraine in its war against Russia.

It's a scenario that has NATO's planners increasingly worried.

If the cables are seriously damaged or disabled, swaths of the internet services we take for granted and that our economies rely on, including calls, financial transactions, and streaming, would be wiped out.

Carl-Oskar Bohlin, Sweden's minister for civil defense, said damage to a telecommunications cable running under the Baltic Sea in 2023 was the result of "external force or tampering," though he did not provide details.

And in June, NATO stepped up aircraft patrols off the coast of Ireland amid concerns about Russian submarine activity, The Sunday Times reported.

Read the rest here.

US & NATO accuse Russia of assassination plots and sabotage

US intelligence discovered earlier this year that the Russian government planned to assassinate the chief executive of a powerful German arms manufacturer that has been producing artillery shells and military vehicles for Ukraine, according to five US and western officials familiar with the episode.

The plot was one of a series of Russian plans to assassinate defense industry executives across Europe who were supporting Ukraine’s war effort, these sources said. The plan to kill Armin Papperger, a white-haired goliath who has led the German manufacturing charge in support of Kyiv, was the most mature.

When the Americans learned of the effort, they informed Germany, whose security services were then able to protect Papperger and foil the plot. A high-level German government official confirmed that Berlin was warned about the plot by the US.

For more than six months, Russia has been carrying out a sabotage campaign across Europe, largely by proxy. It has recruited local amateurs for everything from arson attacks on warehouses linked to arms for Ukraine to petty acts of vandalism — all designed to stymie the flow of weapons from the West to Ukraine and blunt public support for Kyiv.

But the intelligence suggesting that Russia was willing to assassinate private citizens underlined to Western officials just how far Moscow was willing to go in a parallel shadow war it is waging across the west.

Papperger was an obvious target: His company, Rheinmetall, is the largest and most successful German manufacturer of the vital 155mm artillery shells that have become the make-or-break weapon in Ukraine’s grinding war of attrition. The company is opening an armored vehicle plant inside of Ukraine in the coming weeks, an effort that one source familiar with the intelligence said was deeply concerning to Russia. After a series of gains earlier this year, Moscow’s war effort has once again stalled amid redoubled Ukrainian defenses and punishing losses in personnel.

Read the rest here.